The timing of Fannie's announcement is not particularly favorable for developers hoping that low interest rates will make a dent in the current glut of new condos for sale. The US finished 2008 with a supply of condos large enough to absorb 14 months of demand. Furthermore, the supply is set to increase by about 28% this year as 93,000 units are completed nationwide. A bankruptcy lawyer representing a developer in Chapter 11 says "It's not that there's not demand; you just can't get the financing." I find this statement to be very amusing. I'm quite certain that everyone in America would love to have a shiny new condo, probably several shiny new condos, and would gladly finance them with no money-down interest-only loans, thereby creating unlimited demand for condos. In fact, this is where all of that demand for condos a few years back actually came from, a bunch of people who couldn't afford them without exotic financing. Developers now have to adjust to more normal demand levels. The growing disparity between the price of renting and the price of owning over the past few years should've been a warning to developers that actual demand for housing didn't support the runaway prices of condos. But it was far too convenient to ignore the signs and continue building as long as the party lasted. Well, the party's over. Unfortunately, we all have to pay the tab now.
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