As I have noted before, equity investors are confronting the serious question of whether the equity in any bank is worth more than zero. Given the amount of leverage in the banking system and loan portfolios that are souring quickly with the deteriorating economy, it's hard to make any case to buy bank stocks. But still, some diehards are out there paying $1.80 for Citigroup and $2.93 for Bank of America despite the fact that these stocks in particular have been in a death spiral for some time. It is also interesting to see that investors are making, in some cases a stark distinction between Citi and Bank of America and other banks (i.e. JPM, GS, MS, none of which are at 52 week lows, much less in the single digits.) As I learned while trading the tech bust, the market likes to correct one stock at a time as if investors come to realize slowly that all stocks in a deteriorating sector are equally screwed. The bank stock bust seems to be following that model.
The market typically likes to rally on expiration Fridays. That is not looking likely today. But with both the S&P and the Dow flirting with new lows, and the prospect of an FDIC seizure or two after the close, Monday might be looking even worse.
3 comments:
You called the low, even though I'm not so sure you meant to. ;-)
It definitely was not intentional. I wish I were that good...
Looks like an arb to me! Sell 10,000 GS buy 160,000 of the other stuff. Dollar neutral - free coin!!!!!!
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