It seems that despite enormous losses, layoffs, incensed shareholders, government handouts, and the Fed's extreme generosity, Wall Street hasn't changed its tune. Although bonuses are supposedly discretionary, banking executives continue to claim that it is necessary to compensate "talent" with millions of dollars in bonuses or risk losing them to competitors. Frankly, shareholders should know this fact and anyone who views Wall Street compensation practices to be distasteful shouldn't own the stocks. My beef is therefore not with the banks themselves, or with shareholders. It is with the Fed.
Since the credit crisis began, the Federal Reserve has jumped through fire-rimmed hoops to concoct new lending facilities to keep the banking community afloat. Without these lending facilities, it is my belief that several banks, in addition to Bear Stearns, would've collapsed under the weight of illiquid mortgage securities due to severe restrictions in the money markets. Until the credit crisis began, the Fed never accepted mortgages (with the exception of agency pass-throughs) as collateral against its repo loans during open market operations with Wall Street. The Fed couldn't accurately price mortgages and didn't want to be faced with the prospect of selling illiquid securities in the event of a default by a counterparty. The beauty of a repo is that if the couterparty defaults on your loan, you can immediately turn around and sell the securities and be made whole. When there is no market for the securities you are holding as collateral against the loan, you cannot recoup your money. That is the precise reason why money markets froze last summer and have failed to recover. Previously liquid securities have become less liquid and it is hard to determine where securities would be liquidated in the event of a default. The Fed is now assuming that liquidation risk as it enters into repos using questionable collateral. Furthermore, the Fed has lowered interest rates a number of times in the face of rising inflationary pressures, also in an attempt to bail out the banking sector, and is offering loans to Wall Street on illiquid collateral at roughly 2%. Initially these lending facilities were supposed to be temporary until credit markets thawed. But the Fed just extended them through January 2009. In my opinion, as Wall Street's new regulator, the Fed had (and probably still has) a unique opportunity to make a bold statement. In return for access to the discount window, the TAF and the TSLF, Wall Street should not be allowed to pay out cash bonuses until the "temporary" lending facilities cease to exist and the Fed is no longer exposed to potential losses from its illiquid holdings. If shareholders want to continue to throw money at these institutions that have continually misled them about the risks on their balance sheets, that is fine with me. But being on the hook as a taxpayer for a bank failure that could cause the Fed to take losses immediately after Wall Street paid out record bonuses in 2007 really pisses me off. If Mr. Bernanke wants to avoid looking like a shill for Wall Street, he needs to step up his game. If we're going to socialize the losses, we should get some protection. It is incredibly hard for me to believe that banks are even considering paying out bonuses in the face of enormous losses. But a $40 million guarantee to a new hire that has yet to make a penny for a bank that just posted $10 billion worth of losses in the past two weeks is evidence that the culture hasn't changed.
It has been a year since Jim Cramer went off his meds and ranted on CNBC about the Fed needing to open the discount window. Bear Stearns proceeded to pay out $3.4 billion in compensation for 2007, a 21% decline from the prior year, despite a 94% decline in net income from the prior year and then went bust a few months later. Some believe that had Bernanke opened the discount window earlier, Bear would still be around. I believe that had the bank preserved some cash by not paying out bonuses, it might still be around. I'll let my readers draw their own conclusions. For nostalgia's sake, I'm including the Crazy Cramer video. Enjoy...
7 comments:
Jeez, kinda sounds like you were in a Cramer state of mind writing this thing. Cue the video!
The retention of talent at the major banks has become increasingly difficult with the enormous paydays avaialable at hedge funds. A bank forced to reduce compensation by the Fed could lose a significant percentage of its higher-paid, rain-making employees. What good is the Fed support for these institutions if they're hemorrhaging employees; talk about creating a run on the bank.
In this case the Fed improves its chances of being repaid by bolstering the banks since, if I'm not mistaken, the Fed will not take possession of the bank's pledged CDOs unless the banks fail.
The banks don't need to retain the retards who slopped all this garbage onto their books in the first place. Meanwhile, the hedgefund community has neither the capacity nor the desire to "steal" the cockroaches left on bank payrolls now. How's that interview gonna go? "Yeah, so I made a bunch of money with these great trades in '06." Gong! The "retain key employees" mantra is the oldest, saddest, most hackneyed excuse on the street. Please.
The Fed needs to know what it's pricing and what it's guaranteeing. It doesn't need to backstop business as usual.
interesting idea; wall st. comp system is long overdue for an overhaul. are you going to give bernanke the heads up on this?
Oscar-
I agree - the traders who decided to buy mortgage securities should be fired, as should all those at Moody's and S&P who rated the trash AAA.
That said, the number of professionals remotely associated with mortgage securitization is a tiny percentage of total employees on Wall Street. Blaming Montag for subprime lending is like blaming the CFO of McDonald's for getting an overcooked burger.
It may make you feel better to grossly oversimplify an issue, but it doesn't make anyone smarter or more informed.
Montag's 20+ years rising through the ranks at Goldman Sachs would look pretty goodto some hedge funds...
Anonymous,
Your points are well taken. I definitely think it has been the case that investment banks have faced defections of employees to hedge funds. However, given how poorly hedge funds are performing currently and how incredibly hard it is to raise money in this environment, it seems very unlikely to me that the defection from investment banks to hedge funds is going to continue at the same pace.
My main point was that the Fed's role in monetary policy was confined to massaging the money supply by injecting funds into the market through the use of repos. The Fed was always supposed to use the most liquid securities to enact open market operations so that these transactions would be virtually riskless for the Fed. Helping investment banks finance risky assets because of their own faulty judgment was never supposed to happen. I don't understand why the Fed is supposed to assume this risk without demanding some concessions from the banks.
But thank you for your comments. I always appreciate an alternative point of view.
OK, Anon, in the interest of making you smarter and better informed: Until Merrill hired him, Thomas Montag was UNEMPLOYED. He left GS at the end of '07. As such, salivating hedgefunds had seven months to bid for his services. My guess is that their "Overpaid Bull Market Genius" slots had already been filled many times over.
I'm not blaming Montag for subprime. I am saying that Wall Street's compensation system rewards "key" employees in a manner that is inconsistent with shareholders' interests and that the Fed, in accepting collateral it cannot price, has become complicit in perpetuating the joke.
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