I believe it is virtually a foregone conclusion that the Fed cuts the fed funds target and the discount rate today by 50 basis points. Although this will probably weaken the dollar and is not an ideal act, it is a better option than watching another financial institution implode. A 50 basis point cut should help the banking system by lowering financing costs, although the seizure in the money markets may continue for some time, particularly over year end. Everyone send a thank you note to the rating agencies for helping this situation along with their extremely tardy downgrade of AIG and WaMu yesterday after the market's plunge.
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